The following is taken from a discussion of US Military and Diplomatic Policy on my personal Facebook Wall:
Without
even considering the state of our (military) forces, getting involved in Syria is
ill-advised for several diplomatic reasons. The first and foremost
diplomatic consideration here is that the Jihadi's have already beaten
us to the punch. The type of people who do not like us are well
represented on the side of the rebels and will likely have a large
influence on any post-Assad government. I mean, what are we supposed to
do? Purge the rebels of people we don't like? You can't really do that
and claim to believe in freedom. The second consideration is the fact
that this will become a proxy conflict between US and Iran, or worse, US and
Russia. I'd like to believe that the Russians wouldn't be dumb enough to
start World War III over a civil war in a relatively small Middle Eastern country,
but history warns that crazier shit has happened. Some guy named
Archduke Ferdinand was assassinated in 1914, starting some conflict that
was known at the time as "The Great War." You may have heard of it.
Sarcasm aside, It is diplomatically unwise to poke a
Totalitarian-Ascendant Russia with a stick. We might not have had this
concern with Pre-Putin Russia, but if wishes were poppy we'd all be
dreaming.
So
combine our war-weary army with a diplomatic powderkeg and you get a
situation that is, understating it, really bad. If we lose, we lose. But
if we win in our current situation, we are likely to paradoxically lose
even more. I'm afraid that there is no moral and diplomatically
expedient way for America to be an agent of good here. Afraid, too, I am
that we would be better off leaving Syria alone just as we left Iran
alone when it was in its own time of civil unrest. And then there's the
civil unrest in Turkey right now. The Turks have been one of our biggest
traditional allies in the Middle East. Erdogan is becoming a tyrant and
his people are also starting to rebel, this is another situation we are
best to let take its course. The imperialist excesses of the Bush years
have made me somewhat of an isolationist.
There
are times when it is morally correct for a nation that is capable to
stand up for oppressed of another nation. But in the situation where one
tyrant may just as easily be replaced with another, I fear the more
honorable thing to do is to not get involved. It may be selfish to say,
but I believe that before all other diplomatic considerations, we have a
responsibility to our own. There are bigger fish to fry within our own
borders before we start taking on the problems within the borders of
others.
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